ARIZONA ILLEGAL ALIEN LAW A WINNER FOR THE GOP?
Posted by Andrew Roman on May 5, 2010
There have been a good number of conservative pundits and analysts who have made no bones about the fact that, from a political standpoint, they believe the new Arizona illegal alien law could be trouble for the Republican Party. Concerns range from forever losing the Hispanic vote to diverting attention away from the daily-disaster that is the Obama administration. Good folks on the right worry that a golden opportunity to cause serious political damage to the flailing Dems could be lost if the GOP comes across as too hard-nosed, unwelcoming and uncompassionate on this issue.
This is not your Dad’s immigration debate.
The state of Arizona has changed the rules of the game in a profound – and what I believe will be a most effective – way. In my humblest of opinions, as I have written on several occasions, Arizona’s new focus on enforcing already existing immigration laws will demonstrate that this the best way to deter illegals from coming into the United States today. States that follow Arizona’s lead will see not only a decrease in incoming illegals, but will cause many illegals to emigrate elsewhere or self-deport.
This, of course, does not negate the necessity of a fence along the border. I am a huge proponent of “sealing” the border in whatever way is necessary to protect the United States.
However, deterrence is the key. There can be no doubt about it. The word is out that Arizona is unfriendly to illegals … as it should be.
Not Hispanics. Illegals.
For those on the right who are voicing concerns that the Arizona immigration law could backfire on them, they might find some political comfort in knowing that the issue is actually a winner with Americans – despite mainstream media reports to the contrary.
Jonathon Martin at Politico writes:
The new hard-line Arizona immigration law that has sparked talk of boycotts and caused leading Republicans to fret about the party’s frayed relationship with Hispanic voters may indeed pose a long-term threat to the GOP’s prospects.
But in the here and now — and in many of the most competitive races that will determine control of Congress — the law appears to be a poison-tipped arrow in the Republican quiver.
New polling indicates broad public support for the measure and illustrates the peril embattled Democrats could face this November over the issue.
In the South and Midwest, where some of the most competitive congressional races will be fought, popular sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of the controversial new law.
According to a New York Times/CBS poll released Monday, 69 percent of respondents from the South said that the law is either “about right” or does not go “far enough” and 66 percent from the Midwest said the same. Opinion is more divided in the Northeast and West, but nationwide, 60 percent of respondents said the Arizona measure is about right or doesn’t go far enough.
Expectedly, Republicans tend to favor the Arizona law while Democrats generally oppose it.
Independents side with Republicans on this one.
In short, Republicans side with the law.
Democrats side with undocumented liberals who are pouring over the border.