Roman Around

combating liberalism and other childish notions

UNPREDICTABLE TODAY … GUARANTEED TOMORROW

Posted by Andrew Roman on January 27, 2009

melting earthA couple of weeks ago, “six to eight” inches of snow were forecast to fall in and around the New York City area. Every station in town began their “team coverage” from salt truck stations all over the Tri-State area well in advance of the storm’s arrival.

The forecast remained fairly steady in the hours leading up to the “event.”

Then, about seven hours before the storm was supposed to hit, the predicted time of the storm’s arrival was pushed back by about eleven hours. On top of that, snowfall totals were amended to “one to three” inches due to slight shifts in the weather models.

By the time it was all said and done, an inch – at best – fell here in Brooklyn.

It happens.

I have also done some research, looking to find reports from meteorological professionals (other than Al Gore, Jr.) dating back to last winter and spring predicting a “colder-than-normal” season this winter (in some places, a record cold winter). Unfortunately, I didn’t find too many, save for the few who wrote “Global Warming is Causing Global Cooling” end-of-life-as-we-know-it doomsday pieces. I did, however, find thousands – literally thousands – of articles about the planet’s impending demise due to man-man climate changes.

This is not a slam piece against weather forecasters. I actually admire the profession very much. That isn’t my point.

With unpredictability not uncommon in short-term weather forecasting, and with computer models seemingly yielding more and more inaccuracies – some would say more than just sometimes – it is stunning with how much certitude experts can predict the calamity awaiting mankind due to so-called Global Warming.

And with more winter storms scheduled to hit the American Northeast over the next day or so – and temperatures in Fairbanks, Alaska hovering around two degrees – comes the announcement that the effects of Global Warming are irreversible.

Irreversible.

From Yahoo News:

Climate change is “largely irreversible” for the next 1,000 years even if carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions could be abruptly halted, according to a new study led by the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The study’s authors said there was “no going back” after the report showed that changes in surface temperature, rainfall and sea level are “largely irreversible for more than 1,000 years after CO2 emissions are completely stopped.”

NOAA senior scientist Susan Solomon said the study, published in this week’s Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences journal, showed that current human choices on carbon dioxide emissions are set to “irreversibly change the planet.”

Researchers examined the consequences of CO2 building up beyond present-day concentrations of 385 parts per million, and then completely stopping emissions after the peak. Before the industrial age CO2 in Earth’s atmosphere amounted to only 280 parts per million.

The study found that CO2 levels are irreversibly impacting climate change, which will contribute to global sea level rise and rainfall changes in certain regions.

For the next thousand years?

How they know with such confidence that the “irreversible” effects won’t linger for, say, only three hundred years, or five hundred years, is remarkable.

One question … Can I get just one study that proves CO2 levels trigger temperature fluctuations, and not the other way around? Just one? (Okay, that was two).

My guarantee … as more and more people realize that climate conditions fluctuate in spite of human activity, and that the human beings cannot be blamed for altering the weather, these people won’t give a rat’s tush what the temperature is.

That’s because it was never about the Earth.

In other news, it’s cold.

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